Oireachtas Joint and Select Committees
Tuesday, 24 June 2025
Joint Oireachtas Committee on Artificial Intelligence
Introduction to Artificial Intelligence: Discussion (Resumed)
2:00 am
Dr. Patricia Scanlon:
That is a question I do not think anyone has the answer to. What jobs are going to be created that AI cannot do? A lot of people are going to give you very firm opinions on what is going to happen in two, five or ten years. The answer is, we do not know. It would be much more helpful if we all admitted that we do not know. We need to plan for multiple eventualities. As Mr. Blanchfield referred to, we need to ensure our tax base is reflective of this and can fund what is needed if there is displacement and there is not replacement in jobs. We talk a lot about it but we do not know. The AI observatory coupled with the energy council, these are all things that are going to advise us. We are 15 experts who sit around and we can admit that no one has a crystal ball to see the future. No one was able to predict what the LLMs were going to be able to do when it came to GPT-3.5, basically from GPT-3 onwards, and it surprised everybody. If you hear people saying they very certainly know what will happen in five years, you have to question it because we could not see that previously. Even the godfathers of AI and those with decades of expertise did not see it. How can be so sure of the next five years, if we could not see it then? What we are trying to advocate for is that we plan better, plan for a future that we may not have full clarity on but we can plan for multiple eventualities.