Written answers

Tuesday, 23 July 2024

Department of Communications, Climate Action and Environment

Energy Usage

Photo of Richard BrutonRichard Bruton (Dublin Bay North, Fine Gael)
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120.To ask the Minister for Communications, Climate Action and Environment the level of electricity demand that will be created by the targeted installation of retrofit heat pumps and by electric vehicles by 2030; and how that compares with the current level of demand from these sources. [33454/24]

Photo of Eamon RyanEamon Ryan (Dublin Bay South, Green Party)
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The All-Island Generation Capacity Statement (GCS) is an annual report from EirGrid (Transmission System Operator) examining the likely balance between electricity demand and supply for the next 10 years. The GCS includes comprehensive information on energy generation capacities and infrastructure in Ireland. The GCS also includes a table of EV energy demand median scenarios and heat pump energy demand median scenarios from the years 2021 up to 2032.

The GCS 2023-2032 report, which is published on EirGrid's website, noted the following tables relating to expected demand from EVs and heat pumps out until 2030. The GCS 2023–2032 takes account of the relevant electrification targets for heat and transport from the Irish Government’s Climate Action Plan 2023 (CAP23). These are ambitious targets which are required to keep Ireland on track for halving emissions by 2030. In the GCS 2023–2032, the median scenario assumes that by 2030, 100% of the CAP23 targets will be met.

Heat Pump Median Demand Scenario (2021-2030)

Year New Builds- Residential (TWh) Retrofit - Residential (TWh) Commercial (TWh) Total (TWh)
2021 0.22 0.06 0.33 0.61
2022 0.25 0.07 0.36 0.68
2023 0.32 0.09 0.38 0.78
2024 0.41 0.11 0.46 0.98
2025 0.54 0.14 0.59 1.27
2026 0.63 0.25 0.74 1.62
2027 0.71 0.40 0.90 2.00
2028 0.77 0.59 0.99 2.35
2029 0.80 0.84 1.04 2.69
2030 0.81 1.15 1.06 3.03

EV Median Demand Scenario (2021- 2030)

Year BEVs (TWh) PHEVs (TWh) Commercial (TWh) Total (TWh)
2021 0.06 0.02 0.01 0.10
2022 0.11 0.04 0.02 0.16
2023 0.12 0.06 0.02 0.19
2024 0.19 0.09 0.04 0.31
2025 0.32 0.12 0.07 0.52
2026 0.50 0.15 0.13 0.77
2027 0.71 0.18 0.19 1.08
2028 0.95 0.22 0.27 1.43
2029 1.21 0.25 0.35 1.81
2030 1.49 0.28 0.44 2.21

This information is publicly available at: .

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