Written answers

Tuesday, 29 September 2020

Photo of Bernard DurkanBernard Durkan (Kildare North, Fine Gael)
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310. To ask the Minister for Finance the degree to which Ireland's debt as a proportion of GDP, GNP and GNI has fluctuated in the past ten years to date; if there is a need for corrective action; and if he will make a statement on the matter. [27349/20]

Photo of Paschal DonohoePaschal Donohoe (Dublin Central, Fine Gael)
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For the purpose of this reply it is assumed that the Deputy is referring to GNI* rather GNI.

The fluctuation in gross general government debt as a proportion of GDP, GNP and GNI* over the past ten years has been two-fold; a steady increase from 2009-2012 contrasted by a sharp decline from 2012-2019, across all three debt ratios.

The table below sets out the outturn data in respect of gross general government debt as portion of GDP, GNP and GNI* for the year 2009 to 2019 inclusive, which represents the finalised outturn data.

Year Gross G.G. Debt as % of GDP Gross G.G. Debt as % of GNP Gross G.G. Debt as % of GNI*
2009 61.5 74.6 77.6
2010 86.0 103.6 111.8
2011 111.1 138.3 150.2
2012 119.9 150.3 166.0
2013 119.9 143.3 157.2
2014 104.2 124.2 136.4
2015 76.7 100.4 124.0
2016 74.1 91.3 114.8
2017 67.0 84.5 108.1
2018 63.0 80.3 103.6
2019 57.3 74.4 95.5

A significant milestone was achieved in 2019, with the debt-to-GDP ratio falling below the Stability and Growth Pact’s 60 per cent threshold for the first time since 2008. 

However, as the Deputy will be aware, the fiscal measures introduced to mitigate the worst effects of the pandemic (income supports for households and firms, ramping up healthcare capacity), have been largely financed by borrowing.  Accordingly, Ireland’s public indebtedness will increase as a result of this unprecedented shock to the economy.  This is also the case for almost all advanced economies.

Once the most intense part of the current crisis abates, it will be necessary to put the debt ratio on a downward trajectory - it is my expectation that this can mostly be achieved by economic recovery. 

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