Written answers
Wednesday, 21 November 2018
Department of Finance
Government Deficit
Michael McGrath (Cork South Central, Fianna Fail)
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123. To ask the Minister for Finance the projected structural deficit for the scenario outlined in table A8 of the Budget 2019 Economic and Fiscal Outlook; and if he will make a statement on the matter. [48578/18]
Paschal Donohoe (Dublin Central, Fine Gael)
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The projected structural balance can be found in Table 1 of the Economic and Fiscal Outlook published in Budget 2019. The relevant part of the table is reproduced below for the Deputy's convenience.
2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Structural balance, per cent of GDP | 0.4 | -1.0 | -0.7 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
While slightly outside the 0.5 per cent structural deficit target the European Commission applies a discretionary margin of 1/4 percentage points when assessing achievement of the MTO, given the uncertainty in the estimates of the output gap.
The European Commission's own forecasts, published earlier this month, project a structural deficit of 0.5 per cent of GDP for 2019.
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