Written answers

Wednesday, 21 November 2018

Department of Finance

Government Deficit

Photo of Michael McGrathMichael McGrath (Cork South Central, Fianna Fail)
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123. To ask the Minister for Finance the projected structural deficit for the scenario outlined in table A8 of the Budget 2019 Economic and Fiscal Outlook; and if he will make a statement on the matter. [48578/18]

Photo of Paschal DonohoePaschal Donohoe (Dublin Central, Fine Gael)
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The projected structural balance can be found in Table 1 of the Economic and Fiscal Outlook published in Budget 2019. The relevant part of the table is reproduced below for the Deputy's convenience.

2017201820192020202120222023
Structural balance, per cent of GDP0.4-1.0-0.70.00.21.01.4

While slightly outside the 0.5 per cent structural deficit target the European Commission applies a discretionary margin of 1/4 percentage points when assessing achievement of the MTO, given the uncertainty in the estimates of the output gap.

The European Commission's own forecasts, published earlier this month, project a structural deficit of 0.5 per cent of GDP for 2019.

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