Written answers

Tuesday, 26 June 2018

Department of Public Expenditure and Reform

Summer Economic Statement

Photo of Joan BurtonJoan Burton (Dublin West, Labour)
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133. To ask the Minister for Public Expenditure and Reform the Departments, agencies and individual Votes to which the €0.3 billion in carryover costs associated with measures introduced in 2018 as outlined in the summer economic statement has been allocated; the initiatives for which it has been allocated to fund in tabular form; and if he will make a statement on the matter. [27673/18]

Photo of Joan BurtonJoan Burton (Dublin West, Labour)
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134. To ask the Minister for Public Expenditure and Reform the Departments, agencies and individual Votes to which the €0.4 billion cost for public sector pay increases in 2019 as outlined in the summer economic statement has been allocated, in tabular form; if it provides for the hiring of additional staff in each case; and if he will make a statement on the matter. [27674/18]

Photo of Joan BurtonJoan Burton (Dublin West, Labour)
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135. To ask the Minister for Public Expenditure and Reform the Departments, agencies and individual Votes to which the €0.4 billion in demographic costs as outlined in the summer economic statement for 2019 will be allocated, in tabular form; if it provides for the hiring of additional staff or the expansion of existing schemes in each case; and if he will make a statement on the matter. [27675/18]

Photo of Paschal DonohoePaschal Donohoe (Dublin Central, Fine Gael)
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I propose to take Questions Nos. 133 to 135, inclusive, together.

The Summer Economic Statement set out €2.6 billion in pre-committed expenditure for 2019. Of this, €1.1 billion relates to current expenditure on demographics, carryover costs of 2018 expenditure measures and the Public Service Stability Agreement. The remaining €1.5 billion relates to capital expenditure. These current expenditure commitments are set out below.

-2019
€bn
PSSA0.4
Carryover 0.3
Demographics0.4
Total1.1
The €0.4 billion outlined in the Summer Economic Statement for public service pay increases relates to the costs associated with the PSSA 2019. Table 6 on page 37 of Expenditure Report 2018 provides €370 million for 2019. This amount does not include provision for the hiring of additional staff and will be disaggregated by Vote as part of the Budget Estimates process for 2019.

Table 7 on page 38 of the Expenditure Report set out the carryover impact of certain expenditure measures introduced in Budget 2018. As set out below these carryover costs amounted to €192 million. 

Additional Impact in 2019 (€m)
Social Protection110
Education42
Justice40
Total192
As these estimates relate to measures being implemented in 2018, they will be impacted by the actual cost and timing of implementation and consequently the estimated costs will be reassessed as part of the 2019 Budget Estimates process. In addition, at this time, it is estimated that there are additional carryover costs arising from other measures of approximately €150 million. This includes an amount in respect Social Welfare Pensions. In January, the Government agreed that the cohort affected by the State Pension Contributory rate band changes made in 2012 would be allowed to avail of the new Total Contributions Approach, with the revised payments to be made from January 2019 and backdated to March this year. The Mid-Year Expenditure Report will review the amounts in respect of carryover costs taking into account expenditure developments at that time. 

Allocations for demographic cost pressures take into account the analysis presented in the Irish Government Economic and Evaluation Service paper ‘Budgetary Impact of Changing Demographics 2017 – 2027.’ The paper examines the changing structure of the Irish population and estimates pure demographic cost pressures across the three main current expenditure areas of Social Protection, Health and Education. For 2019, the total figure allocated in the Ministerial Vote Group ceilings for demographics across Health, Social Protection and Education is €413 million. This cost is net of estimated reductions in Live Register related expenditure of €50 million.  As is usual, the savings currently projected arising from expected improvements in the Live Register will be re-estimated during the Budget Estimates process taking account of the employment situation and projections in relation to unemployment at that time.

DemographicsCost in 2019 (€m)
Social Protection 241
Health123
Education49
Net Total413

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