Written answers

Thursday, 18 November 2010

5:00 pm

Photo of Leo VaradkarLeo Varadkar (Dublin West, Fine Gael)
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Question 76: To ask the Minister for Finance the expected revenue in a full year for the Exchequer from the auctioning of carbon allowances post 2012; and if he will make a statement on the matter. [43455/10]

Photo of Brian Lenihan JnrBrian Lenihan Jnr (Dublin West, Fianna Fail)
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Based on the current state of knowledge and data as supplied by the EPA we can estimate the State allowances as follows: 000's

Year201220132014201520162017201820192020
Aviation Allowances475475475475475475475475475
EUA Allowances (ETS excl aviation)-8,1518,0017,8527,7027,5527,4037,2537,104

As with any market based instrument it is difficult to say conclusively what the revenues will be. There is considerable uncertainty around predicting a future carbon price. Assuming a price of €15 a tonne (a price similar to the current price of carbon on the European Climate Exchange), then the yield from the allowances could be as follows:

Possible Yield (€m)

Year201220132014201520162017201820192020
Possible Yield7129127125123120118116114

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