Oireachtas Joint and Select Committees

Tuesday, 30 November 2021

Joint Oireachtas Committee on Climate Action

Electric Vehicles: Discussion

Mr. Brian Cooke:

As I said earlier, it depends on the size of the new car market. The new cars will replace older cars, and new electric cars will ultimately replace the oldest internal combustion engine cars on the road. We are only selling 120,000 new cars a year at the moment, so even at that rate, it would be hard to see us reach the targets in the climate action plan. Some 50% of sales of electric vehicles are in the last three years of the climate action plan. It will not happen in four or five years. There will be hundreds of thousands of electric vehicles on the roads by 2030 but it will be some time in the next decade before they are the majority, with about 2.2 million cars on the road. With a fair wind, it will be early in the next decade, but it is more likely to be the middle of the next decade. Notwithstanding that, the better the new car sales levels are, the more there will be on the roads. There will be hundreds of thousands of electric vehicles on the roads by 2030.