Oireachtas Joint and Select Committees

Wednesday, 16 January 2019

Joint Oireachtas Committee on Climate Action

Third Report of the Citizens' Assembly: Discussion (Resumed)

Mr. Séamus Walsh:

No, it uses the guidance from the WMO. The advice is that one cannot say "Yes" or "No", but one can place it in the context of a warming planet. One can say things like these type of events are what we are likely to see and they are part of the warming trend. One cannot specifically say in real time that a certain event was or was not due to climate change. One can talk about the probability of it occurring. It is like a loaded die. The probability of these events occurring has increased, but in real time one cannot say for sure that one was or was not caused by climate change. The journalist could just as easily have said that Met Éireann has been told to link events to climate change as that it has been told not to. We are told to do neither, but to place events in the context of a warming planet and the increased likelihood of these events.