Oireachtas Joint and Select Committees
Thursday, 2 July 2015
Committee of Inquiry into the Banking Crisis
Nexus Phase
Mr. Brian Cowen:
Well, as you say ... I mean, various ... you know, you say that possibility of a hard landing, which was regarded as unlikely, were mentioned on a number of occasions. That's true. Now, if they said it was likely, you'd have a budgetary process that would seek to accommodate that. If they tell you it's unlikely and instead of housing output coming to an abrupt halt to nil, we'll go from 90,000 to 40,000, then you take that into account, which is what we did. So what you do is, you ally the assessment of risk with what's happening on the ground, what your statistics are saying to you, what your economic impact assessment of that is, and you must ... you must accommodate that in your budget, and that's what we did. So, you know, you can only-----