Written answers

Tuesday, 7 June 2011

9:00 pm

Photo of Bernard DurkanBernard Durkan (Kildare North, Fine Gael)
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Question 40: To ask the Minister for Finance if the use of credit controls as a means of controlling inflation, as opposed to interest rate increases throughout Europe, has been discussed by EU finance Ministers; and if he will make a statement on the matter. [14332/11]

Photo of Bernard DurkanBernard Durkan (Kildare North, Fine Gael)
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Question 116: To ask the Minister for Finance the degree to which he and his EU colleagues have examined the possible use of credit controls as a substitute for interest rate increases to control inflation; and if he will make a statement on the matter. [14423/11]

Photo of Michael NoonanMichael Noonan (Limerick City, Fine Gael)
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I propose to take Questions Nos. 40 and 116 together.

The recent increase in the rate of inflation across Europe has been discussed at a number of ECOFIN meetings this year. However, I would like to stress that responsibility for monetary policy rests with the ECB and that national Governments do not have any influence on the decision making process.

Photo of Mary Lou McDonaldMary Lou McDonald (Dublin Central, Sinn Fein)
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Question 41: To ask the Minister for Finance the evidence base used to calculate the assumptions on which the projected return to the bond markets in 2012 and 2013 is based. [14230/11]

Photo of Mary Lou McDonaldMary Lou McDonald (Dublin Central, Sinn Fein)
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Question 58: To ask the Minister for Finance the assumptions on which the projected return to the bond markets in 2012 and 2013 is based. [14229/11]

Photo of Michael NoonanMichael Noonan (Limerick City, Fine Gael)
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I propose to take Questions Nos. 41 and 58 together.

As the Deputy is aware, earlier today, in response to a priority question, I outlined the position in this regard. As I intimated, the Joint EU/IMF Programme of Financial Support provides for a total financial package of €85 billion. Within this total amount, €67.5 billion comes from external sources, while the remaining €17.5 billion comes from the State's own resources, namely the National Pensions Reserve Fund and other domestic cash sources.

Some €35 billion of the total €85 billion financial support package was originally set aside for the banking sector with the remaining €50 billion available for the purpose of financing the State. The recent banking stress tests carried out by the Central Bank identified an additional €24 billion in support to the banking sector as being required, including €3 billion of funds which take the form of contingent capital. However, it is anticipated that mitigating actions, such as burden sharing, will mean that up to €5 billion of this €24 billion will not have to be provided by the State.

The budgetary forecasts contained in the recently published Stability Programme Update (SPU) prudently assume that an additional €20 billion in State support to the banking sector will be required. On that basis, therefore, some €15 billion of the funding originally earmarked for the banking sector is now available for use for sovereign purposes, bringing the potential total available under the Programme for sovereign purposes to €65 billion.

Based on the forecasts recently produced in the Stability Programme Update, the combined Exchequer deficits for the years 2011-2013 are estimated at €48.5 billion. Maturing Government debt, both long-term and short-term, over the same period amounts to some €27 billion, including an assumption for some short-term debt funding. In terms of our funding requirements for the individual years, factoring in Exchequer deficits and maturing debt, the State will require approximately €30 billion, €23 billion and €22.5 billion in each of the years 2011, 2012 and 2013 respectively.

It is the stated intention of the National Treasury Management Agency (NTMA) to return to sovereign debt markets as soon as market conditions permit. The steps necessary to enable such a return include resolution of the banking sector issues and continued progress in the reduction of the budget deficit in line with the targets agreed in the EU/IMF Programme of Financial Support, together with the implementation of policies that will see us return to sustainable economic growth.

A key development in that regard has been the publication of the results of the bank stress tests on 31 March 2011 and the associated recapitalisation exercise which have been well received by investors and rating agencies alike.

The NTMA is in constant contact with market participants and will advise me when it feels that the time is right to re-enter the markets.

I should say that, based on conservative projections of our funding needs and taking account of funding possibilities, there is no urgency about a return to the markets. Indeed, the purpose of a programme such as the EU/IMF Programme for Ireland is to provide the space necessary for economic and fiscal adjustment to take place. Based on current projections and assuming no market access, the State has access to sufficient funds for its needs into the second half of 2013.

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