Oireachtas Joint and Select Committees

Tuesday, 22 July 2025

Joint Oireachtas Committee on Finance, Public Expenditure, Public Service Reform and Digitalisation, and Taoiseach

Engagement with the NTMA on Matters Relating to its Operation

2:00 am

Mr. Frank O'Connor:

If one were a debt manager, one would say as low a level as possible, but we need to invest in our economy and grow it for the future. One would have to look at all the statistics but, generally, a number of countries’ debt levels have increased since the global financial crisis and Covid. For example, many of the European countries that were below 100% debt-to-GDP are now above 100%. Below 70% is good for Ireland and we compare very favourably, but we should remember that debt to GNI* hit 166% at its peak. That is a very heavy debt burden. It was down to about 102% in 2021 at the time of Covid and it is now below 70%. As I said in our remarks on the annual report, we cannot be complacent, given the uncertain backdrop and the fact that this is still a substantial amount of debt, but if there were to be a fiscal shock or Ireland needed to do something, the starting position would be better.

We do not really talk about GDP because it flatters Ireland a bit, but that peaked at 120%. It is now back in the 40s. We like to focus with investors on the GNI*.

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