Oireachtas Joint and Select Committees

Thursday, 11 July 2024

Joint Oireachtas Committee on Housing, Planning and Local Government

Consultation on the Draft National Planning Framework: Discussion

1:30 pm

Mr. Paul Hogan:

First, this is not a housing plan. It is a strategic, long-term planning document for the next 16 years, so it is an average of 50,000 over 16 years. How that will stack up against the next few years, the pent-up demand and so on has yet to be worked out in fine detail. For the purposes of publishing this document, we took the figures from the ESRI, made a reasonable allowance based on the previous methodology for unmet demand and averaged it out over the whole period. Different approaches are going to be considered for how unmet demand is calculated and met and we are not offering a definitive position on that right now. Fifty thousand is a round number. We could have said 53,000 or 47,000. Fifty thousand is a reasonable working assumption over the next 16 years, based on the information we have.

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