Mr. Wayne Stanley:

We have all said today that if the tenant in situscheme continues to ramp up and to succeed, it might be the bulwark against that increase. Ms Hayes rightly set out the figures but if one goes back a little further to the start of the crisis, there was a family a month coming in. The year after that, it went to 16. The following year it then went to 32 and then to 64. The capacity for this to grow and to become up to 90 and 100 families a month, and that sort of scale, is definitely there. Mr. McCafferty is fully correct in that we want to be very cautious because on the other side of those figures, there are families who have been served with a notice to quit and need to be able to approach their local authority in confidence rather than being concerned that we are predicting some kind of inevitability to it. The trajectory on this can continue to go up and we will know relatively quickly, that is, within three or four of the upcoming months, because that pressure is already in the system. I would say that we will know in three or four months what the very clear trajectory is.