Oireachtas Joint and Select Committees

Thursday, 11 May 2023

Joint Oireachtas Committee on the Implementation of the Good Friday Agreement

The Economics of Northern Ireland and the All-island Economy: Economic and Social Research Institute

Dr. Seamus McGuinness:

Going back to our Cambridge Journal of Economics paper with respect to the all-island economy, the point we made there is that if we believe a border poll is probable in the future, it is not rational not to plan properly for it. One does not have to believe it is going to happen, or even want it to happen, but one has to accept that it is a possibility that it will happen. We need to look at Brexit for the lessons of how to run constitutional referendums badly. My opinion, and I am not speaking for the ESRI here, is that the planning needs to be put in place and it needs to be properly funded, structured, independent and verifiable planning that can be trusted by the people when they vote on these issues. That is where the priorities lie.

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