Oireachtas Joint and Select Committees

Tuesday, 11 January 2022

Joint Oireachtas Committee on Climate Action

Carbon Budgets: Discussion

Photo of Alice-Mary HigginsAlice-Mary Higgins (Independent) | Oireachtas source

My first follow up point is very important with regard to that Paris Agreement test being developed and used in the development of the budgets. I wish to be clear about the Paris test and the assumptions in it. I am not just concerned about it because it is climate unjust, for example it assumes that Malawi, which has 0.3 tonnes of carbon per person, has the same responsibilities, capacities and path as Ireland, which has 8 tonnes per person. It is not the injustice that I am only concerned about. I am very concerned that two factually inaccurate assumptions, namely that every country in the world has the same starting point and that they will reduce emissions at the same speed and amount, are being used for the scientific modelling. That is my ultimate concern. The section in which the Paris Agreement test as developed, is being used in section 4.213 of the technical document, which compares the temperature impact of the carbon budgets with the 1.5° goal. That is the core of the whole thing. Are we going to do enough to get global temperatures down to 1.5° if there is an area forming in which we need really hard science scientific input and not assumptions that we know are not true? That is used to develop table 4.4, and then table 4.4 is used as the basis for the council saying that they have complied with the legislative of criteria of 1.5°. I am very concerned about that. There is a lot of other amazing work that has gone in. I have seen inputs and there are a lot of great facts and evidence out there. I must, however, strongly indicate my concern about this Paris test. I do not believe-----

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