Mr. John McCarthy:

I can get the figure. We have estimated that over the medium term, a disorderly exit would take approximately five percentage points off the level of GDP. After that decade, if there was no policy response, the deficit would be one percentage point worse than otherwise would be the case. For regular people, this means the unemployment rate would be two percentage points higher than in our baseline scenario. It would have an impact on growth, the public finances and the labour market, which is where people would feel it most.