Oireachtas Joint and Select Committees
Thursday, 10 May 2018
Joint Oireachtas Committee on Finance, Public Expenditure and Reform, and Taoiseach
Banking Sector: Quarterly Engagement with the Central Bank of Ireland
9:30 am
Professor Philip Lane:
The Central Bank does not forecast house prices, although we survey different types of real estate professionals on their expectations over a three-year period. We find that they expect an increase in house prices of approximately 15% over three years. It is not the case, therefore, that they are expecting double-digit growth in house prices every year. Many in the industry expect a single-digit increase this year. It is not an accelerating market and we are beginning to see the Central Bank's rules bite more severely. I do not expect double-digit growth every year.
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