Oireachtas Joint and Select Committees

Wednesday, 9 September 2015

Committee of Inquiry into the Banking Crisis

Nexus Phase

Photo of Sean BarrettSean Barrett (Independent) | Oireachtas source

It's in your own green book as well. Looking at those, would it be fair to say that - on page 5 - that the institutions estimated a loss of ... it's not totalled but it starts with AIB thought it would be €2 billion and so on. That comes to €5.157 billion if I added up correctly. Then scenario 1 thought it would be €8.6 billion and scenario 2 thought it would be €10.3 billion. The concerns would be that while you had brought very important information to those meetings, this is way short of the eventual reality of the €64 billion. So, where did the scenarios come from given that they were so far short of what happened? And could I add to that? When the former Taoiseach, Mr. Cowen, was giving evidence - I don't know if you saw his presentation - he said on paragraph 25, the PwC analysis was "hopelessly optimistic" and certainly did not envisage the crisis to develop in the way that it subsequently did. So, those were scenarios within the banks. They still had no idea that we were headed towards the €64 billion and the inquiry we're conducting today.

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