Oireachtas Joint and Select Committees

Thursday, 9 July 2015

Committee of Inquiry into the Banking Crisis

Nexus Phase

Photo of Joe HigginsJoe Higgins (Dublin West, Socialist Party) | Oireachtas source

Yes. I'll read it quickly perhaps:

Here is the recipe which leads to something distinctive. It is the recipe that the institutions follow which produces the worst losses, is most likely to cause hyperinflated bubbles, is most likely to cause catastrophic individual losses, and is most likely to cause future crises. I am speaking about the past throughout the world, but my focus is going forward in Ireland with regard to policies the committee might consider recommending. The recipe has four ingredients: grow like crazy; make terrible quality loans - not kind of bad but absolutely terrible and obvious on their face loans; while employing extreme leverage, which means a whole lot of debt compared to equity; and while setting aside no meaningful loss reserves for the inevitable catastrophic losses which will follow.

And just the next paragraph:

these four ingredients are followed it is mathematically guaranteed - and let me emphasise it is not hypothetical but mathematically guaranteed given how ... accounting works - there will be three ... things. The bank will report, almost immediately, record profits. Under modern executive compensation the senior leadership will promptly be made wealthy but many other people in the food chain will also be made wealthy because the same perverse incentive structures are used to ensure they make those really crappy loans I talked about. The third sure thing is that down the road there will be catastrophic losses.

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