Oireachtas Joint and Select Committees

Wednesday, 24 June 2015

Committee of Inquiry into the Banking Crisis

Nexus Phase

Mr. John McCarthy:

I think it was, Deputy. I think ... and to give you a specific example, I think the models that we had, I'm talking here about, for forecasting purposes, were not dissimilar from models that other treasuries would have, that other central banks would have. In fact, a couple of years ago the fiscal advisory council, as part of their mandate, looked at our forecasting model and concluded it was in line with best practice. But where it failed, and where other models failed, was in one particular area, and that was they did not incorporate the impact of the financial sector onto the real economy. The real economy, I mean, production, output, employment and so forth, and-----

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