Oireachtas Joint and Select Committees

Thursday, 19 June 2014

Joint Oireachtas Committee on Finance, Public Expenditure and Reform

Fiscal Assessment Report 2014: Irish Fiscal Advisory Council

3:40 pm

Professor John McHale:

The effects will be small, and the smaller the deficit, the smaller the effect. Based on a deficit of 3% of GDP, if Ireland's nominal GDP were to increase by 1%, the deficit would be reduced by 0.03% of GDP. It is relatively small. If Ireland's nominal GDP were to increase by 2%, the deficit would be reduced by 0.06%, which is starting to add up and move in the right direction, but it would not be transformative.

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